STATISTICS

MATH 30853-040

Fall 2020

 

 

Course Web Site:        http://faculty.tcu.edu/gfriedman/stats

Instructor:                   Dr. Greg Friedman

e-mail:                        g.friedman@tcu.edu

Office:                         358B Tucker Technology Center

Phone:                         817-257-6343

Office Hours:              Office hour Zoom meetings can be arranged at any time by e-mailing or calling me. Once I receive such a request I will do my best to meet with you as soon as possible, almost always within 24 hours. I’m also happy to answer questions by e-mail when possible. Office hour Zoom meetings will be at the same Zoom link as the class meetings.

 

Final Exam:                Friday, November 20

Class Schedule:          MWF 12:00-12:50 by Zoom at https://tcu.zoom.us/j/96480554400

or Telephone (audio only): US: +1 346 248 7799

Meeting ID: 964 8055 4400

International numbers available: https://tcu.zoom.us/u/aBikMqDRj

 

 

Required Resources:   The text will be Probability & Statistics for Engineering and the Sciences, Ninth Edition by Jay L. Devore with WebAssign access. Online access will also provide access to an online version of the textbook. However, purchasing a physical copy of the textbook is strongly suggested as it can be difficulty to navigate across pages using the online version.

 

                                    You can access WebAssign through our TCU Online D2L course page. You can purchase WebAssign access directly on the site with a credit card or purchase a card with an access code through the TCU bookstore. You can also purchase a book and access card through other sites such as Amazon. There is also a cheaper loose leaf version available.

 

                                    For accessibility resources related to the book and/or WebAssign, please visit the Cengage Accessibility web site.

 

Prerequisites:              Students are expected to be expert in the material of Calculus I and Calculus II.

 

Asking questions:       Ask questions in class! It helps me know what needs to be explained better, and it makes classmates grateful that someone had the courage to ask. You are also encouraged to ask questions before class, after class, in my office hours, by e-mail, over telegraph, and every other possible way. Don't be shy!

Calculators/Tech      You will need either a spreadsheet program with statistical capabilities such as Excel or a calculator with statistics capabilities. Excel is preferred. You can downloaded a copy of Microsoft Office, including Excel, from TCU; if your computer cannot run Excel, you may be able to use Excel Online, which is available for free after setting up a Microsoft account. The following calculators are acceptable, though fancier ones should also be okay: TI-83 Plus, TI-83 Plus Silver Edition, TI-84 Plus, TI-84 Plus Silver Edition, TI-Nspire with the TI-84 Plus keypad installed.

 

Health and Safety

 

If you are exhibiting new symptoms that may be related to COVID-19 (fever or chills, dry cough, shortness of breath, etc.) or are concerned that you may have been exposed to COVID-19, you must self-quarantine and consult with the Brown Lupton Health Center at 817-257-7949 for further guidance. In addition, you must notify the Campus Life Office immediately at 817-257-7926. Campus Life will inform your professors that you are unable to attend class, and provide any assistance and support needed. Click here for detailed information concerning COVID-19 symptoms: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus.

 

If you are unwell, but are not exhibiting potential COVID-19-related symptoms, please notify me via email as soon as possible that you are ill and will not be attending class

 

Course Policies and Procedures

Class Meeting and Attendance: Class meetings will be MWF 12:00-12:50 by Zoom at https://tcu.zoom.us/j/96480554400 (or Telephone (audio only): US: +1 346 248 7799, International numbers available at https://tcu.zoom.us/u/aBikMqDRj).

Recordings of class meetings will be posted to a YouTube playlist (click to go to the playlist). The videos and playlist will be unlisted and so only viewable by those with this link.

Attendance at Zoom class sessions is required. For each unexcused absence after 5, a 0.5% penalty will be deducted from your final course grade. You are responsible for all material and information from all class sessions, for handing in all homework on time, and for taking all exams at the appointed times.

Students are also expected to leave their cameras turned on during Zoom meetings. This helps me to assess how well you’re understanding the presentation as well as making the class more welcoming for all the students. Unless you have a good reason for not leaving your camera on (in which case you should contact me by e-mail as soon as possible, or alternatively contact me in advance for permission), attending without the camera on will count as an absence. 

Exams: There will be two midterm exams; see the calendar below (dates subject to change). The final exam will be on Friday, November 20. Each exam will be timed, but the class will be given a window of time to complete the exam. For example, an exam might be a one-hour timed exam, but you will be able to take it whenever you want over a range of days. The current plan for midterms is that you will have the whole weekend corresponding to the Saturday classes with the exam due by 11:59 PM Sunday evening. The final exam will be a bit more regimented with the exam only available on November 20 and due at 11:59 PM.

Exams will be made available either on TCU Online or via a Box folder. When you view or download the exam it will create a timestamp. You will have to upload your solutions to TCU Online within a given amount of time from when you view or download the exam. More specific instructions will be given prior to each exam. Exams must be submitted in pdf format or they will not be accepted.

Homework: Problems will be assigned via WebAssign, which can be accessed through TCU Online. Problems will be assigned following each class session and due at the beginning of the second class session following completion of the textbook section in class (due dates will be listed with the problems). Unexcused late problem sets may not be graded and will count as a 0 toward your overall homework grade. You may discuss homework problems with others and are encouraged to come to me for help at any time. You may discuss homework problems with other students in the class, BUT solutions must be solved and submitted individually. In other words, you may work in groups in attempting to figure out how to solve problems, but you must work out actual solutions on your own and demonstrate your own mastery of the solution. It is imperative that you learn the material for yourself; there will be no collaboration on exams.

Group Mini-projects: To promote an engaged and connected student experience as well as practice real-world applications of course materials, students will perform group-based mini-projects throughout the semester. Full details will be provided in a separate handout.

Plagiarism: In addition to copying homework solutions from others in the class, looking up answers on the internet (or anywhere else) and using those answers to write your homework solutions is plagiarism and will not be tolerated. At minimum, plagiarism will result in a 0 on the assignment and reporting to the dean’s office. Other penalties might include a 0 for your overall homework grade, removal from the course with an automatic grade of F (not replaceable), or suspension from the university.

Grading: Your final average will be determined approximately as follows: 35% for the final exam, 25% for each midterm, 10% for homework, and 5% for group mini-projects. A cumulative average of 90% or above guarantees at least an A-, a cumulative average of 80% or above guarantees at least a B-, a cumulative average of 70% or above guarantees at least a C-, and a cumulative average of 60% or above guarantees at least a D-. Actual grade lines will be determined by the instructor; lower numerical averages might earn higher letter grades.

Note: Homework grades will be tracked primarily through WebAssign. Periodically (once every few weeks) your homework average will be updated on TCU Online. Other grades (exams/projects) will be entered into both WebAssign and TCU Online as they occur. In general, the most accurate version of your current grade can be found on WebAssign.

On Concepts: On exams and homework you will be tested not just on your ability to perform calculations but also on your understanding of concepts discussed in class and in the book. Therefore, it is important for you to read the material in the text (which you will be responsible for) and to study notes from class.

Make-ups and accommodations: All work is expected to be turned in by the assigned due dates and times. Late work will not be accepted without a valid excuse. In the event that you will be unable to take an exam on time, an official written excuse is required. I expect to be notified at least one week in advance except in the case of serious emergency, and in all cases I expect to be notified as soon as reasonably possible. Excuses may also be given by me to hand in homework late, again provided that a reasonable request is made in advance or proof of emergency situation is presented. Failure to abide by this policy will result in loss of course credit. For any special accommodations or rescheduling you may need, it is your responsibility to contact me at least one week in advance. For final exams, all rescheduling must be initiated by you at least one month in advance.

If you experience a technological problem that prevents you from handing in work on time, you must document the event immediately via picture or screenshot and contact me as soon as possible.

Extra help: In addition to help from me, students may seek extra help from the math clinic or through tutoring. Please contact me for more information.

 

Class Schedule

Calendar: The course will meet via Zoom at all scheduled course times except those noted for exams. Class meetings will be MWF 12:00-12:50 by Zoom at https://tcu.zoom.us/j/96480554400 (or Telephone (audio only): US: +1 346 248 7799, International numbers available at https://tcu.zoom.us/u/aBikMqDRj).

 

Each week we will cover the topics contained in the following sections of the text. Homework assignments will be posted via TCU Online/WebAssign with due dates clearly marked; in general, homework will be due at the start of the second class period after the day it is assigned. Sections marked with an asterisk (*) will be included only if well ahead of schedule (and so are likely to be skipped). This calendar should be taken as a rough guideline, subject to much possible change

 

 

Week

Start Date

Text Sections

Special Dates

1

Aug. 17

2.1, 2.2, 2.5

 

2

Aug. 24

3.1, 3.2, 3.3, 3.4

 

3

Aug. 31

4.1, 4.2, 4.3, 4.4*

 

4

Sep. 7

5.3, 5.5, 5.4

 

5

Sep. 14

1.1, 1.3, 1.4

 

6

Sep. 21

(4 classes)

6.1, 7.1

Exam 1 – Weekend of September 26 (in place of September 26 class meeting)

7

Sep. 28

7.2, 7.3, 7.4

 

8

Oct. 5

8.1, 8.2

 

9

Oct. 12

8.3, 8.4, 9.1

 

10

Oct. 19        (4 classes)

9.2, 9.4*, 9.5*

October 22 – Last day to drop

October 23 – Last day to choose P/NC option

Exam 2 – Weekend of October 24 (in place of October 24 class meeting),

11

Oct. 26

10.1, 10.2

 

12

Nov. 2

12.1, 12.2, 12.3*, 12.4*, 12.5

 

13

Nov. 9

14.1*, 14.3*

15.1*, 15.2*

 

14

Nov. 16

Review

Last Day of Class – Nov. 16

Final Exam – Friday, Nov. 20

15

Nov. 23

 

 

 

 

Course Learning Outcomes

 

Learning Outcomes

1.     Develop skills in basic probability theory for the purposes of application to statistical modeling

2.     Apply descriptive statistics to analyze data

3.     Estimate statistical parameters using point estimates and confidence intervals

4.     Perform hypothesis tests about statistical parameters

5.     Apply analysis of variance (ANOVA) to analyze differences across multiple populations

6.     Perform linear regression to assess the relationship between two variables

 

Mapping of Course Outcomes to Course Activities and Assignments

 

Course Outcome(s)

Course Activities

Approximate Number of Instances

1

Lectures on Chapters 2-5 of the text and associated homework assignments (one per lecture)

10

2

Lectures on Chapter 1 of the text and associated homework assignments (one per lecture)

2

3

Lectures on Chapters 6-7 of the text and associated homework assignments (one per lecture)

5

4

Lectures on Chapters 8-9 of the text and associated homework assignments (one per lecture)

7

5

Lectures on Chapter 10 of the text and associated homework assignments (one per lecture)

3

6

Lectures on Chapter 12 of the text and associated homework assignments (one per lecture)

6

 

2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Group mini-projects

6

1, 2, 3, 4

Midterm exams

2

1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Final exam

1

 

 

Grading Rubrics

 

Homework: Homework will be auto-graded by WebAssign. Partial credit for work will not be available.

 

Group Mini-projects: A rubric is provided with the Group Mini-project assignment sheet.

 

Exams: The number of points available for an exam problem will be displayed on the exam. Exam problems will be graded according to the following approximate rubric. The categorization of your performance for a given problem on the chart below, as well as the precise grade within the category are at the discretion of the instructor. This rubric is intended to give you an idea of what I’m looking for when grading, but ultimately I will assign points according to my own judgment.

Some problems may require multiple steps with the student expected to know what those steps are; in particular, the steps and their corresponding point subtotals may not be provided. In this case each step will be graded according to the rubric below with the weight for a particular step or problem part determined by the instructor. Such weightings will be consistent for all students in the class.

Problems will be scored via a deduction method as follows:

 

  

Deduction

Possible reasons for deduction

0% deduction (full credit)

Answer is completely correct. All required steps have been performed. All computations are correct. All requested information has been given clearly and in the expected format (e.g. full non-technical English sentences if required).

0%-25% deduction

Problem is substantially correct but contains minor errors, such as: a minor copy error, a minor part of a computation or formula is incorrect, or required conclusions are not stated clearly or as required.  

25%-50% deduction

Answer has multiple minor errors (as above) or a more significant error, such as: overall technique is generally correct but there are serious computational errors, incorrect formula or technique has been applied, or conclusion has flaws in correctness or presentation.

50-75% deduction

Answer has several errors, possibly multiple small or mid-level errors, or a major error, such as: serious flaws in methodology, critical computational errors, incorrect results, major flaws in stating conclusions.

75-100% deduction

Answer is substantially incorrect, for example: the correct methods have not been applied, only rudimentary work has been provided, required mathematical conditions to proceed with a computation have not been met, conclusions absent.

100% deduction (no credit)

Answer has not been submitted.

 

 

 

 

University Disclosures

 

Syllabus Disclosures

Fall 2020

 

Campus Life and the Student Experience will Be Different This Year. The health and safety of students, faculty, and staff is Texas Christian University’s highest priority. TCU has implemented public health interventions, which includes following local and state public health orders and CDC guidelines. These health interventions may impact your experience as a student both inside and outside the classroom. Safety protocols may change during the semester and may result in modifications or changes to the teaching format, delivery method, or the course schedule (e.g., altering meeting times or frequency; changing beginning or ending dates for a term; or partially or completely moving from a face-to-face classroom teaching to an online teaching or remote learning format). Any changes in teaching format, delivery method, or course schedule will not impact the credit hours for the course.

 

Health and Wellness: If you are exhibiting symptoms that may be related to COVID-19 (fever or chills, dry cough, shortness of breath, etc.) or are concerned that you may have been exposed to COVID-19, you must self-quarantine and consult with the Brown Lupton Health Center at 817-257-7949 for further guidance.

 

In addition, you must notify the Campus Life Office immediately at 817-257-7926. Campus Life will inform your professors that you are unable to attend class, and provide any assistance and support needed. Click here for detailed information concerning COVID-19 symptoms: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus.

 

If you are unwell, but are not exhibiting potential COVID-19-related symptoms, please notify your instructor as soon as possible that you are ill and will not be attending class.

 

If you do not feel well enough to attend class in person, but feel well enough to attend class remotely, please notify your instructor as soon as possible before the class begins to arrange attendance via video conferencing.

 

 

Face Coverings and Physical Distancing:  Face coverings are required on campus, unless you are alone in your private office or dorm room.  Students will be expected to practice physical distancing and wear protective face coverings at all times while in public spaces on the TCU campus. Failing to do so in the classroom could result in the student being asked to leave the room and continue the class through remote access. Additionally, the instructor has the option to terminate the class period and continue it as a remote session if students do not wear required masks or practice physical distancing.

 

 

Student Access and Accommodation: Texas Christian University affords students with disabilities reasonable accommodations in accordance with the Americans with Disabilities Act and Section 504 of the Rehabilitation Act. To be eligible for disability-related academic accommodations, students are required to register with the TCU Office of Student Access and Accommodation and have their requested accommodations evaluated. Students are required to provide instructors an official TCU notification of accommodation approved through Student Access and Accommodation. More information on how to apply for accommodations can be found at https://www.tcu.edu/access-accommodation/ or by calling Student Access and Accommodation at (817) 257-6567. Accommodations are not retroactive and require advance notice to implement.

 

 

Technology Policies

Email

Only the official TCU student email address will be used for all course notification. It is your responsibility to check your TCU email on a regular basis.

 

Course Materials

TCU students are prohibited from sharing any portion of course materials (including videos, PowerPoint slides, assignments, or notes) with others, including on social media, without written permission by the course instructor. Accessing, copying, transporting (to another person or location), modifying, or destroying programs, records, or data belonging to TCU or another user without authorization, whether such data is in transit or storage, is prohibited. The full policy can be found at: https://security.tcu.edu/polproc/usage-policy/.

 

Violating this policy is considered a violation of Section 3.2.15 of the Student Code of Conduct (this policy may be found in the Student Handbook at https://tcu.codes/code/index/), and may also constitute Academic Misconduct or Disruptive Classroom Behavior (these policies may be found in the undergraduate catalog at https://tcu.smartcatalogiq.com/current/Undergraduate-Catalog/Student-Policies/Academic-Conduct-Policy-Details). TCU encourages student debate and discourse; accordingly, TCU generally interprets and applies its policies, including the policies referenced above, consistent with the values of free expression and First Amendment principles.

 

 

Anti-Discrimination and Title IX Information

 

Statement on TCU’s Discrimination Policy

TCU prohibits discrimination and harassment based on age, race, color, religion, sex, sexual orientation, gender, gender identity, gender expression, national origin, ethnic origin, disability, predisposing genetic information, covered veteran status, and any other basis protected by law, except as permitted by law. TCU also prohibits unlawful sexual and gender-based harassment and violence, sexual assault, incest, statutory rape, sexual exploitation, intimate partner violence, bullying, stalking, and retaliation. We understand that discrimination, harassment, and sexual violence can undermine students’ academic success and we encourage students who have experienced any of these issues to talk to someone about their experience, so they can get the support they need.

·       Review TCU’s Policy on Prohibited Discrimination, Harassment and Related Conduct or to file a complaint: https://titleix.tcu.edu/title-ix/.

·       Learn about the Campus Community Response Team and Report a Bias Incident: https://titleix.tcu.edu/campus-community-response-team/

 

Statement on Title IX at TCU

As an instructor, one of my responsibilities is to help create a safe learning environment on our campus. It is my goal that you feel able to share information related to your life experiences in classroom discussions, in your written work, and in our one-on-one meetings. I will seek to keep any information your share private to the greatest extent possible. However, I have a mandatory reporting responsibility under TCU policy and federal law and I am required to share any information I receive regarding sexual harassment, discrimination, and related conduct with TCU’s Title IX Coordinator. Students can receive confidential support and academic advocacy by contacting TCU’s Confidential Advocate in the Campus Advocacy, Resources & Education office at https://care.tcu.edu/  or by calling (817) 257-5225 or the Counseling & Mental Health Center at https://counseling.tcu.edu/ or by calling (817) 257-7863. Alleged violations can be reported to the Title IX Office at https://titleix.tcu.edu/student-toolkit/ or by calling (817) 257-8228. Should you wish to make a confidential report, the Title IX Office will seek to maintain your privacy to the greatest extent possible, but cannot guarantee confidentiality. Reports to law enforcement can be made to the Fort Worth Police Department at 911 for an emergency and (817) 335-4222 for non-emergency or TCU Police at (817) 257-7777.

 

Obligations to Report Conduct Raising Title IX or VAWA Issues

Mandatory Reporters: All TCU employees, except Confidential Resources, are considered Mandatory Reporters for purposes of their obligations to report, to the Coordinator, conduct that raises Title IX and/or VAWA (Violence Against Women Act) issues.

Mandatory Reporters are required to immediately report to the Coordinator information about conduct that raises Title IX and/or VAWA issues, including any reports, complaints or allegations of sexual harassment, discrimination and those forms of prohibited conduct that relate to nonconsensual sexual intercourse or contact, sexual exploitation, intimate partner violence, stalking and retaliation involving any member of the TCU community, except as otherwise provided within the Policy on Prohibited Discrimination, Harassment and Related Conduct.

 

Mandatory Reporters may receive this information in a number of ways. For example, a complainant may report the information directly to a Mandatory Reporter, a witness or third-party may provide information to a Mandatory Reporter, or a Mandatory Reporter may personally witness such conduct. A Mandatory Reporter’s obligation to report such information to the Coordinator does not depend on how he/she received the information. Mandatory Reporters must provide all known information about conduct that raises Title IX or VAWA issues to the Coordinator, including the identities of the parties, the date, time and location, and any other details. Failure of a Mandatory Reporters to provide such information to the Coordinator in a timely manner may subject the employee to appropriate discipline, including removal from a position or termination of employment.

Mandatory Reporters cannot promise to refrain from forwarding the information to the Coordinator if it raises Title IX or VAWA issues or withhold information about such conduct from the Coordinator. Mandatory Reporters may provide support and assistance to a complainant, witness, or respondent, but they should not conduct any investigation or notify the respondent unless requested to do so by the Coordinator.

 

Mandatory Reporters are not required to report information disclosed (1) at public awareness events (e.g., “Take Back the Night,” candlelight vigils, protests, “survivor speak-outs,” or other public forums in which students may disclose such information (collectively, public awareness events); or (2) during an individual’s participation as a subject in an Institutional Review Board approved human subjects research protocol (IRB Research). TCU may provide information about Title IX rights and available resources and support at public awareness events, however, and Institutional Review Boards may, in appropriate cases, require researchers to provide such information to all subjects of IRB Research.

Relevant reporting phone numbers are: 911 for an emergency and (817) 335-4222 for non-emergency or TCU Police at (817) 257-7777.

 

[The following template text has been provided by the Assistant Vice Chancellor for Public Safety after approval by the Student Government Association (SGA) for inclusion in TCU syllabi. Online students may find themselves on campus using TCU resources (ex: library, writing center, health center) or attending events. The following safety information may be useful in the event of an emergency or if students receive TCU Alert updates.]

Emergency Response Information

Please review TCU’s L.E.S.S. is More public safety video to learn about Lockdown, Evacuate, and Seek Shelter procedures. (https://publicsafety.tcu.edu/less-is-more/)

TCU’s Public Safety website provides maps that show our building’s rally point for evacuation and the seek shelter location. (https://publicsafety.tcu.edu/)

In the event of an emergency, call the TCU Police Department at 817-257-7777.

Download the Frogshield Campus Safety App on your phone. (https://police.tcu.edu/frogshield/)

 

Academic Misconduct

Academic Misconduct (Sec. 3.4 from the TCU Code of Student Conduct): Any act that violates the academic integrity of the institution is considered academic misconduct. The procedures used to resolve suspected acts of academic misconduct are available in the offices of Academic Deans and the Office of Campus Life and are also listed in detail in the Undergraduate Catalog and the Graduate Catalog Specific examples include, but are not limited to:

·       Cheating: Copying from another student’s test paper, laboratory report, other report, or computer files and listings; using, during any academic exercise, material and/or devices not authorized by the person in charge of the test; collaborating with or seeking aid from another student during a test or laboratory without permission; knowingly using, buying, selling, stealing, transporting, or soliciting in its entirety or in part, the contents of a test or other assignment unauthorized for release; substituting for another student or permitting another student to substitute for oneself.

·       Plagiarism: The appropriation, theft, purchase or obtaining by any means another’s work, and the unacknowledged submission or incorporation of that work as one’s own offered for credit. Appropriation includes the quoting or paraphrasing of another’s work without giving credit therefore. 

·       Collusion: The unauthorized collaboration with another in preparing work offered for credit.

·       Abuse of resource materials: Mutilating, destroying, concealing, or stealing such material.

·       Computer misuse: Unauthorized or illegal use of computer software or hardware through the TCU Computer Center or through any programs, terminals, or freestanding computers owned, leased or operated by TCU or any of its academic units for the purpose of affecting the academic standing of a student.

·       Fabrication and falsification: Unauthorized alteration or invention of any information or citation in an academic exercise. Falsification involves altering information for use in any academic exercise. Fabrication involves inventing or counterfeiting information for use in any academic exercise.

·       Multiple submission: The submission by the same individual of substantial portions of the same academic work (including oral reports) for credit more than once in the same or another class without authorization.

·       Complicity in academic misconduct: Helping another to commit an act of academic misconduct.

·       Bearing false witness: Knowingly and falsely accusing another student of academic misconduct.